When Puro.earth
fires, everything
unlocks at once.
One external certification event. Every product downstream of Vessel opens simultaneously. $CRED mints for the first time. Twelve Agora markets open. The oracle commits its first public prediction and stakes its credence pool on the outcome. The receipt cannot be backdated.
Automatic. In order. Non-reversible.
Everything downstream of Vessel. All at once.
(correct prediction basis — anchored before outcome)
duration_multiplier = 2.109
(90-day certification window × time weighting factor)
first_mint = base_supply × duration_multiplier
This is the founding supply. Every $CRED that will ever exist traces to a correct oracle prediction. The formula is locked in the oracle specification, anchored before the first token is minted. The supply cannot be higher than this calculation produces. There is no team allocation, no investor reserve, no emissions schedule. Supply equals verified accuracy.
The oracle stakes its credence pool on its own predictions.
Every financial instrument in existence is a claim about the future made at a point in time, with no cryptographic proof that the claim was made before the outcome was known. The oracle receipt changes one thing.
Bloomberg's analysts can claim they predicted something. Bloomberg produces research notes with timestamps. But those timestamps are social facts — maintained by institutional authority, not by mathematics. A Bloomberg analyst's track record is what Bloomberg says it is.
When the oracle fires on Day 0, the Shirokuma prediction hash is anchored to a Solana block. The block exists before the outcome is confirmed. The SHA-256 is computed from the prediction text, the timestamp, and the oracle's Ed25519 public key. These three facts together prove the prediction was made before the outcome was known. No institution required. No trust required. The ledger is the authority.
This is the first time in financial history that oracle accountability is mathematical rather than social. Day 0 is when it starts.