Agora — The Attention Exchange

12 markets. Pre-designed. Waiting on the oracle.

Every market below has a fully specified resolution methodology locked before it opens. The oracle staked $CRED on each thesis before any participant takes a position. Long = capital + published evidence. Short = capital + counter-evidence.

Gate: oracle keypair + first confirmed receipt → all markets open simultaneously

Staged markets

6,250

$CRED oracle stake

1,467

$CRED first mint

90d

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How positions work

↑ Attention Long

Stake $CRED on the thesis. Then publish evidence-backed content that argues for it. The JUDGE agent reviews your content before the position activates. Content must not imply any prior oracle receipt was wrong. Position size = $CRED balance × credence multiplier (1.0× to 4.5×).

↓ Narrative Short

Stake $CRED against the thesis. Then publish the best available counter-evidence. The motivated debunker who finds the most compelling counter-argument earns the most. Markets create their own most rigorous critics as a byproduct of every large long.

All staged markets — click to expand

Resolution protocol

The oracle cannot change the methodology after the market opens.

Methodology lock

The resolution methodology is specified in the Anchor receipt at market genesis — before any participant takes a position. It cannot be changed afterward.

Automatic resolution

When both primary and secondary data sources confirm the threshold, the market resolves automatically. No human committee. No discretion.

Oracle skin in game

The oracle staked $CRED on every market. Correct resolution mints $CRED. Incorrect resolution burns 50% of the stake. The economic incentive is structural.

Manual resolution penalty

If both sources are unavailable for 72+ hours, manual resolution is permitted — but triggers a 5% governance-risk penalty from the oracle credence pool.